I'd be EXTREMELY surprised if it was the water - my auto has done 165,000 and been underwater up to its nuts numerous times. 58k is relatively low mileage for an old'un so underuse won't help, plus as I'm sure you know, the towing weight of the auto is substantially lower than the manual, so depends how big your van is I suppose. I towed a miserably heavy twin axle van trailer down to the south of France several times laden with furniture, tools, building materials etc.. and I'm convinced thats what killed mine when it finally went.
But the advice I've always had from autobox specialists (and some very good ones too) is 'wait til it breaks', as its easier/cheaper to diagnose that way!